Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.690255 0.789690 0.897500 1.022959 1.164826 1.320156 1.503000
2025-02-02 0.560231 0.700011 0.864266 1.071022 1.323806 1.622258 2.000794
2025-02-09 0.446548 0.605646 0.807045 1.079485 1.437061 1.888894 2.501469
2025-02-16 0.358492 0.525074 0.751100 1.077923 1.535717 2.151044 3.037059
2025-02-23 0.293004 0.461189 0.704628 1.079003 1.635672 2.427186 3.630722
2025-03-02 0.242133 0.407799 0.662534 1.077362 1.729099 2.704777 4.263811
2025-03-09 0.206756 0.370889 0.637828 1.096092 1.853314 3.041318 5.026845
2025-03-16 0.173472 0.330594 0.600190 1.086805 1.930061 3.312521 5.721988
2025-03-23 0.152359 0.307111 0.586095 1.113363 2.067619 3.695763 6.643007
2025-03-30 0.129670 0.276146 0.553260 1.100918 2.134518 3.966969 7.406491
2025-04-06 0.114601 0.256918 0.538525 1.118566 2.256400 4.345831 8.399725
2025-04-13 0.097172 0.229364 0.502935 1.090087 2.286751 4.561658 9.121188
2025-04-20 0.088609 0.219454 0.501761 1.131169 2.459919 5.067432 10.451095
2025-04-27 0.082169 0.213087 0.507004 1.186413 2.669253 5.667475 12.032743
2025-05-04 0.073161 0.198859 0.492713 1.197327 2.787721 6.101570 13.336211
2025-05-11 0.064637 0.184051 0.474561 1.196652 2.880852 6.494338 14.599771
2025-05-18 0.057445 0.171144 0.458654 1.198534 2.979564 6.909456 15.955814
2025-05-25 0.051050 0.159003 0.442503 1.197174 3.070326 7.317099 17.340033
2025-06-01 0.046525 0.151136 0.435830 1.218163 3.216458 7.863005 19.087124
2025-06-08 0.041225 0.139826 0.418135 1.208100 3.285493 8.241177 20.495919
2025-06-15 0.038096 0.134439 0.415598 1.237574 3.457067 8.875860 22.562478
2025-06-22 0.033805 0.124396 0.398215 1.223910 3.515908 9.248447 24.049552
2025-06-29 0.031073 0.118866 0.392977 1.243468 3.664922 9.856498 26.167040